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NOTES ON SWING TRADING.

Guides on reading your own trade data — the metrics, the exits, and what a journal is actually for.
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Metrics
MFE and MAE, explained
MFEMAEExcursionWorked Example
MFE and MAE, explained
Two numbers that tell you whether you are exiting too early, holding losers too long, or putting your stop in the wrong place.
Metrics
What expectancy actually tells you about your trading
FormulaR MultiplesSample Size
What expectancy actually tells you about your trading
Win rate on its own is close to meaningless. Expectancy is the one number that says whether an edge exists.
Metrics
What is a good profit factor?
BenchmarksGross P/LSample Size
What is a good profit factor?
A one-line ratio that says how many dollars you made for every dollar you lost — and the benchmarks that are actually realistic.
Metrics
Win rate vs risk/reward: why 40% can beat 70%
Break-even1/(1+R)Exits
Win rate vs risk/reward: why 40% can beat 70%
Win rate and risk/reward are two halves of one number. Optimising either alone is how profitable-looking strategies lose money.
Strategy
How to backtest an exit rule against trades you already took
21 EMALook-ahead BiasSimulation
How to backtest an exit rule against trades you already took
Your own filled trades are the cleanest dataset you will ever have for testing an exit. Here is how to use them.
Journal
How to export your trade history from your broker
SchwabIBKRWebullCSV
How to export your trade history from your broker
Every broker buries this in a different place and calls it something different. Here is where to look.
Journal
A swing trading journal template — and what is actually worth tracking
Three LayersSetup TagsReview Cadence
A swing trading journal template — and what is actually worth tracking
Most templates record what happened. The fields that change behaviour are the ones about why, and there are fewer of them than you would think.
Risk
Position sizing for swing trading: how much to risk per trade
FormulaRisk %Gap Risk
Position sizing for swing trading: how much to risk per trade
Size is arithmetic, not opinion. The only genuine judgement call is the risk percentage — and there is a way to derive even that.
Basics
Swing trading vs day trading: the real differences
PDT RuleOvernight RiskTime Cost
Swing trading vs day trading: the real differences
The difference is not how aggressive you are. It is holding period — and everything that follows from it.
Strategy
Why market environment matters more than your setup
UptrendChopBreadth
Why market environment matters more than your setup
The same setup, traded identically, can be a good strategy and a bad one depending on nothing but the tape around it.
Strategy
Swing trading entry techniques that are worth testing
5-min ORBTrendline BreakGap & GoPivot
Swing trading entry techniques that are worth testing
Seven entries, each defined precisely enough that you could tag a trade with it and measure whether it works for you.
Strategy
Swing trading selling techniques: how to actually exit
21 EMA TrailScale OutTime StopParabolic
Swing trading selling techniques: how to actually exit
Entries get all the attention. The exit is where the money in a swing trade is actually decided.
Risk
Progressive exposure: sizing up only once you are being paid
Start SmallAdd on ProofTiered RiskDrawdown Cap
Progressive exposure: sizing up only once you are being paid
Risk the least when you know the least. Add size only once the market has started paying you for being right.
Risk
Progressive exposure through trade frequency, not size
Open RiskSlot LimitsCorrelationPilot Trades
Progressive exposure through trade frequency, not size
You can scale exposure without touching your position size. Change how many trades you are in.
Compare
The best swing trading journals
CriteriaPricingSimulationMFE / MAE
The best swing trading journals
What actually separates a swing trading journal from a day trading one — and an honest accounting of where ours fits.
Risk
Stop loss placement: why a tighter stop can mean far more upside
Stop DistanceSize MultiplierMAEADR Floor
Stop loss placement: why a tighter stop can mean far more upside
Halve the stop and you double the shares for the same dollar risk. Your win rate does not halve with it — and that gap is the whole opportunity.
Compare
TradePiko vs Tradezella, TraderSync, Tradervue, TradesViz and Edgewonk
TradezellaTraderSyncTradervueTradesViz
TradePiko vs Tradezella, TraderSync, Tradervue, TradesViz and Edgewonk
Six journals, what each is best at, and a feature-by-feature table.
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